Holstein Kiel II 0-4 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Oct 2024

Holstein Kiel II
0-4
St. Pauli II
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.38
Over 2.5
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-8.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Holstein Kiel II v St. Pauli II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.89/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.81
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
3W-3D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
28.10.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-3 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
08.11.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
04.12.2021 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
18.09.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 0-2 HT 0-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
13.09.2020 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II swept aside Holstein Kiel II 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Holstein Kiel II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Holstein Kiel II had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 0.50 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II?

Holstein Kiel II 0-4 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holstein Kiel II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 44%, draw 22%, St. Pauli II 33%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Holstein Kiel II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holstein Kiel II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
13 Oct 2024
00:00 Havelse vs Phönix Lübeck Analysis →
00:00 Eintracht Norderstedt vs Teutonia Hamburg Analysis →
00:00 Lehnerz vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →
00:00 Astoria Walldorf vs Freiburg II Analysis →
00:00 Bremer SV vs VfB Oldenburg Analysis →