Bremer SV 1-2 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+10.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
44%
-12.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.2pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
2.20/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.93
+60% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bremer SV
0W-0D-2L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
54% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 4-1 HT 3-0 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
08.10.2023 Bremer SV Bremer SV 0-2 HT 0-0 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bremer SV vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Oldenburg edged past Bremer SV 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bremer SV at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bremer SV and 3.00 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Bremer SV vs VfB Oldenburg?

Bremer SV 1-2 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bremer SV vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bremer SV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bremer SV 42%, draw 27%, VfB Oldenburg 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bremer SV) ✗ BTTS No
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