Havelse 3-1 Phönix Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.99/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.43
+9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Phönix Lübeck
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 4-1 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
24.09.2023 Havelse Havelse 1-2 HT 1-1 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 3-0 HT 2-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
04.09.2022 Havelse Havelse 2-2 HT 0-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Phönix Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse got the better of Phönix Lübeck 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Phönix Lübeck led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Havelse and 2.75 for Phönix Lübeck.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Phönix Lübeck?

Havelse 3-1 Phönix Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Phönix Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Havelse 53%, draw 25%, Phönix Lübeck 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havelse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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