Astoria Walldorf 2-0 Freiburg II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.5
No
41%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
62%
-3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
38%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.41/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.04/1.58
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
209 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Freiburg II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.03.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 3-1 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
12.09.2020 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-2 HT 0-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
22.09.2019 Freiburg II Freiburg II 2-2 HT 1-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
17.04.2015 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-1 HT 2-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
04.10.2014 Freiburg II Freiburg II 1-1 HT 0-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs Freiburg II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf beat Freiburg II 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Freiburg II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 1.80 for Freiburg II.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs Freiburg II?

Astoria Walldorf 2-0 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs Freiburg II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 30%, draw 28%, Freiburg II 43%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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