Baranovichi 4-1 BATE II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.8pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE II EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.51/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.22
-13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
0W-0D-2L
AWAY BATE II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.08.2024 Baranovichi Baranovichi 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE II BATE II BLR1
07.04.2024 BATE II BATE II 2-1 HT 0-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs BATE II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi swept aside BATE II 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baranovichi as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, BATE II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Baranovichi and 1.50 for BATE II.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs BATE II?

Baranovichi 4-1 BATE II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs BATE II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 53%, draw 23%, BATE II 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baranovichi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baranovichi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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