Bermuda 0-4 Jamaika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
7.78
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
58%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.39
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
7.26
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.39 — our 30% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
10%
+15.8pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.2pp
58%
Away Win
72%
-14.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bermuda EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamaika EU Bookmakers 77%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.09/3.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.02
+99% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
220 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 84%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
10.0 Crosses 13.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bermuda
0-4
AWAY Jamaika
0.41 xG 1.48
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
321 Passes 282
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bermuda vs Jamaika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika ran out comfortable winners over Bermuda 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jamaika as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Bermuda had 54% of the ball to Jamaika's 46%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.41 to 1.48.

What was the final score of Bermuda vs Jamaika?

Bermuda 0-4 Jamaika in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bermuda vs Jamaika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jamaika win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Bermuda 26%, draw 16%, Jamaika 58%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamaika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jamaika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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