Letonya 0-1 Sırbistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.78
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
64%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
16.9
1/2
6%
24.95
1/X
6%
24.95
X/1
5%
18.0
X/2
20%
3.59
X/X
13%
6.48
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.53
2/X
5%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
10%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.7pp
64%
Away Win
71%
-7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Letonya EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 75%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.89/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.12
+42% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -3%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 470 · 81%
11.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
15.0 Crosses 23.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Letonya
0-1
AWAY Sırbistan
0.62 xG 1.39
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
426 Passes 539
88% Pass Accuracy 94%
14 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Letonya vs Sırbistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan squeezed past Letonya 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sırbistan as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Letonya had 45% of the ball to Sırbistan's 55%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.62 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Letonya vs Sırbistan?

Letonya 0-1 Sırbistan in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Letonya vs Sırbistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sırbistan win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Letonya 12%, draw 24%, Sırbistan 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sırbistan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sırbistan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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