Ermenistan 0-5 Portekiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
6%
12.23
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
81%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.45
2-3 Goals
39%
2.37
4-5 Goals
30%
2.28
6+ Goals
11%
3.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
29.0
1/2
8%
20.7
1/X
3%
34.5
X/1
2%
34.5
X/2
22%
4.03
X/X
5%
13.1
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
51%
1.2
2/X
4%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
7%
Home Win
5%
+1.4pp
13%
Draw
10%
+2.2pp
81%
Away Win
84%
-3.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ermenistan EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz EU Bookmakers 90%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.84/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.48
+120% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +37%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
218 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 528 · 87%
11.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.5
8.7 Crosses 20.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ermenistan
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Portekiz
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
306 Passes 434
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
13.06.2015 Ermenistan Ermenistan 2-3 HT 1-1 Portekiz Portekiz AVŞE
14.11.2014 Portekiz Portekiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVŞE
17.11.2007 Portekiz Portekiz 1-0 HT 1-0 Ermenistan Ermenistan AVR
22.08.2007 Ermenistan Ermenistan 1-1 HT 1-1 Portekiz Portekiz AVR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ermenistan
0-5
AWAY Portekiz
0.22 xG 6.34
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
221 Passes 590
84% Pass Accuracy 93%
7 Box Touches 54
4 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ermenistan vs Portekiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz swept aside Ermenistan 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portekiz as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ermenistan had 29% of the ball to Portekiz's 71%, shots finished 7-24, expected goals 0.22 to 6.34.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portekiz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Ermenistan and 1.50 for Portekiz.

What was the final score of Ermenistan vs Portekiz?

Ermenistan 0-5 Portekiz in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ermenistan vs Portekiz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Ermenistan 7%, draw 13%, Portekiz 81%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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