Estoril vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Santa Clara
POR
3-1
HT 2-1
Estoril
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
2-2
HT 1-1
Santa Clara
POR
Estoril 0-1 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara squeezed past Estoril 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Santa Clara made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Estoril had 60% of the ball to Santa Clara's 40%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.79 to 2.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Estoril and 2.17 for Santa Clara.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Santa Clara?
Estoril 0-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Santa Clara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Estoril 34%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.