Santa Clara vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Santa Clara
POR
3-1
HT 2-1
Estoril
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
2-2
HT 1-1
Santa Clara
POR
Santa Clara 2-3 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Estoril edged past Santa Clara 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Santa Clara at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Clara had 60% of the ball to Estoril's 40%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.02 to 0.80 — on chances, Santa Clara could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Santa Clara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Santa Clara and 1.40 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Estoril?
Santa Clara 2-3 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 54%, draw 23%, Estoril 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.