Sigma Olomouc 1-3 Bohemians 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.0
Over 2.5
44%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 32% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
46%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
54%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +25%
0.80/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.23
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
20.9 Crosses 18.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Bohemians 1905
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 288
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 2-2 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
23.09.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-2 HT 1-2 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
27.05.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-1 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
09.04.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-2 HT 1-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
15.10.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-1 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
05.03.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
1-3
AWAY Bohemians 1905
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
266 Passes 273
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 beat Sigma Olomouc 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Bohemians 1905 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 50% of the ball to Bohemians 1905's 50%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.33 for Bohemians 1905.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?

Sigma Olomouc 1-3 Bohemians 1905 in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Bohemians 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sigma Olomouc win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 40%, draw 29%, Bohemians 1905 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sigma Olomouc) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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