Slavia Prag 2-1 Sparta Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
13.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.88/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.80
+20% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slavia Prag
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.62 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
251 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
03.03.2024 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
28.02.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 2-3 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEKK
24.09.2023 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
13.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-2 HT 1-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
03.05.2023 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 0-2 HT 0-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Prag
2-1
AWAY Sparta Prag
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
220 Passes 238
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
7 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag nicked a narrow win over Sparta Prag 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Slavia Prag had 48% of the ball to Sparta Prag's 52%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Slavia Prag and 1.17 for Sparta Prag.

What was the final score of Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Slavia Prag 2-1 Sparta Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Prag vs Sparta Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slavia Prag 44%, draw 25%, Sparta Prag 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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