Aston Villa 0-0 Manchester United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

Aston Villa
0-0 HT 0-0
Manchester United
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.58
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
14%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.87
1/2
5%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
18%
5.33
X/2
10%
6.86
X/X
8%
5.83
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
18%
4.09
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa v Manchester United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.70/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.99
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
20.8 Crosses 13.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Aston Villa vs Manchester United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Manchester United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.11 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 400
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-2 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
26.12.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-2 HT 0-2 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
30.04.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 1-0 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
10.11.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 4-2 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNLK
06.11.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-1 HT 2-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
23.07.2022 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-2 HT 0-2 Manchester United Manchester United HAZ

Aston Villa 0-0 Manchester United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa
0-0
AWAY Manchester United
0.50 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
345 Passes 302
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Aston Villa vs Manchester United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa and Manchester United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa had 54% of the ball to Manchester United's 46%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.50 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aston Villa and 2.17 for Manchester United.

What was the final score of Aston Villa vs Manchester United?

Aston Villa 0-0 Manchester United in the England - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs Manchester United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 45%, draw 22%, Manchester United 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
6 Oct 2024
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