Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

Brighton & Hove Albion
3-2 HT 0-2
Tottenham
📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.31
2-3 Goals
40%
2.1
4-5 Goals
27%
2.53
6+ Goals
10%
5.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.82
1/2
6%
21.85
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
15%
6.72
X/2
13%
5.55
X/X
9%
6.14
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
23%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.5pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.77/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.43
+26% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
17.4 Crosses 13.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tottenham
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
452 Passes 401
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
28.12.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 4-2 HT 2-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
08.04.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
08.10.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
16.04.2022 Tottenham Tottenham 0-1 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
16.03.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
3-2
AWAY Tottenham
1.76 xG 1.34
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
301 Passes 461
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion squeezed past Tottenham 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Tottenham at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 41% of the ball to Tottenham's 59%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.76 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tottenham led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.50 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham?

Brighton & Hove Albion 3-2 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 33%, draw 25%, Tottenham 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tottenham) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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