GIF Sundsvall 1-2 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.8
Over
37%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.82
No
62%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
37%
3.08
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
17%
3.8
6+
8%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.08 — our 37% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.5
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
8%
8.29
X/2
17%
4.16
X/X
17%
4.55
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.47
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.5pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.15/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.80
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
402 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIF Sundsvall
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Degerfors
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.50 xG 2.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
374 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
27.08.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 3-1 HT 1-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
09.05.2022 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-3 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
27.02.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 4-1 HT 2-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇK
28.11.2020 Degerfors Degerfors 2-5 HT 1-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
01.08.2020 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-4 HT 0-2 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
POST-MATCH GIF Sundsvall vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors edged past GIF Sundsvall 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Degerfors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for GIF Sundsvall and 3.00 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of GIF Sundsvall vs Degerfors?

GIF Sundsvall 1-2 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIF Sundsvall vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split GIF Sundsvall 21%, draw 31%, Degerfors 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Degerfors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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