Trelleborgs FF 1-0 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.23
Over
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
30%
4.69
2-3
37%
1.91
4-5
24%
2.85
6+
9%
7.96
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.69 — our 30% vs market 16.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.11
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
23%
5.42
X/2
11%
6.49
X/X
10%
5.3
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · X/1 at 5.42 — our 23% vs market 14.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.4pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.38/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.60
-6% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Örgryte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
22.10.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
17.04.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
12.09.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
18.05.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
18.10.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
1-0
AWAY Örgryte
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF edged past Örgryte 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trelleborgs FF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 44% of the ball to Örgryte's 56%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 0.83 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Örgryte?

Trelleborgs FF 1-0 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 42%, draw 25%, Örgryte 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trelleborgs FF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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