Örgryte 1-2 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 May 2024

Örgryte
1-2 HT 1-0
Trelleborgs FF
📅22/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örgryte vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.14
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.17
X/2
11%
6.36
X/X
16%
4.93
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
16%
4.21
2/X
6%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.44/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.61
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6

Örgryte vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 0-2 HT 0-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
17.04.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
12.09.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
18.05.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
18.10.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 2-2 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
24.04.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2

Örgryte 1-2 Trelleborgs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
1-2
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF nicked a narrow win over Örgryte 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Trelleborgs FF found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Örgryte had 46% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 54%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Örgryte and 1.83 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Trelleborgs FF?

Örgryte 1-2 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 37%, draw 29%, Trelleborgs FF 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Örgryte) ✗ Under 2.5
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