Helsingborgs IF 0-1 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
21%
3.98
X/2
11%
10.9
X/X
10%
5.23
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
7%
8.39
2/X
5%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
1.48/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.55
-17% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Skövde AIK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
01.06.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helsingborgs IF
0-1
AWAY Skövde AIK
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skövde AIK squeezed past Helsingborgs IF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Helsingborgs IF at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Helsingborgs IF had 62% of the ball to Skövde AIK's 38%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Skövde AIK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 0.50 for Skövde AIK.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Skövde AIK?

Helsingborgs IF 0-1 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 54%, draw 23%, Skövde AIK 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✗ Over 2.5
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