Östers 2-1 Landskrona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 31% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.4
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
6%
9.26
X/X
15%
5.25
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
12%
6.97
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Landskrona EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
1.68/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.68
+2% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Landskrona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 2-2 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
26.05.2023 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
08.10.2022 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
04.04.2022 Landskrona Landskrona 1-3 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
02.11.2021 Landskrona Landskrona 1-4 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
18.04.2021 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
2-1
AWAY Landskrona
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Östers vs Landskrona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers nicked a narrow win over Landskrona 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Östers had 52% of the ball to Landskrona's 48%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Östers and 1.00 for Landskrona.

What was the final score of Östers vs Landskrona?

Östers 2-1 Landskrona in the Sweden - Superettan on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Landskrona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Östers 46%, draw 30%, Landskrona 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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