Pitea IF 2-3 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.40/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pitea IF
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FBK Karlstad
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.06.2024 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 2-3 HT 0-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
2-3
AWAY FBK Karlstad
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FBK Karlstad nicked a narrow win over Pitea IF 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day FBK Karlstad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Pitea IF had 42% of the ball to FBK Karlstad's 58%, shots finished 9-16.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs FBK Karlstad?

Pitea IF 2-3 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an FBK Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 33%, draw 30%, FBK Karlstad 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FBK Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FBK Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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