Albacete 1-1 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.99
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
21%
4.85
X/2
7%
6.72
X/X
10%
4.6
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.74
2/X
9%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -27%
1.60/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.16
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
22.9 Crosses 29.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cordoba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.41 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
267 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2020 Cordoba Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İSPK
02.02.2019 Cordoba Cordoba 1-3 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
02.09.2018 Albacete Albacete 3-0 HT 2-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
20.01.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
25.08.2017 Albacete Albacete 0-3 HT 0-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
10.04.2016 Cordoba Cordoba 2-3 HT 0-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
1-1
AWAY Cordoba
1.61 xG 0.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
180 Passes 320
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 20
32 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Cordoba shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Albacete at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Albacete had 40% of the ball to Cordoba's 60%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.61 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Albacete and 1.33 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Cordoba?

Albacete 1-1 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Albacete 45%, draw 28%, Cordoba 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albacete) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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