Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
22%
3.93
X/2
13%
9.18
X/X
7%
4.42
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
8%
7.62
2/X
10%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 23%
-8% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.37/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.29
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.9 Crosses 16.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Malaga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
340 Passes 283
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2020 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
20.10.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-2 HT 0-1 Malaga Malaga İS2
15.06.2019 Malaga Malaga 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
12.06.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4-2 HT 1-2 Malaga Malaga İS2
24.02.2019 Malaga Malaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
07.10.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 HT 0-0 Malaga Malaga İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
0-0
AWAY Malaga
1.01 xG 0.97
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
387 Passes 333
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna and Malaga played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo La Coruna at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 53% of the ball to Malaga's 47%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.01 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 1.00 for Malaga.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Malaga?

Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 48%, draw 25%, Malaga 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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