Merida AD 1-1 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.33
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.23/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.98
-10% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
1-1
AWAY Villarreal II
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD and Villarreal II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Merida AD had 45% of the ball to Villarreal II's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Villarreal II?

Merida AD 1-1 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 39%, draw 26%, Villarreal II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Merida AD), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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