Real Murcia 3-1 Alcorcon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.49
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.07/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.05
-21% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Alcorcon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
27.04.2014 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
24.11.2013 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
31.03.2013 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-1 HT 1-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
28.10.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
05.05.2012 Alcorcon Alcorcon 3-0 HT 2-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS2
03.12.2011 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-2 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
3-1
AWAY Alcorcon
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Alcorcon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia got the better of Alcorcon 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Murcia had 50% of the ball to Alcorcon's 50%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alcorcon led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Real Murcia and 1.33 for Alcorcon.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?

Real Murcia 3-1 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Alcorcon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 41%, draw 28%, Alcorcon 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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