Compostela 1-2 Escobedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Escobedo EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.38/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.50
-12% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Escobedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Escobedo squeezed past Compostela 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Compostela at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Escobedo?

Compostela 1-2 Escobedo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Escobedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Compostela 49%, draw 23%, Escobedo 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Compostela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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