Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Tudelano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tudelano EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
0.93/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.93
-27% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
220 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Tudelano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
07.01.2024 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 3-2 HT 2-1 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
11.03.2023 Tudelano Tudelano 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
23.10.2022 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 2-0 HT 1-0 Tudelano Tudelano İS4
24.11.2019 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-0 HT 0-0 Tudelano Tudelano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-2
AWAY Tudelano
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Tudelano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tudelano edged past Deportivo Alaves II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 59% of the ball to Tudelano's 41%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Alaves II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 0.50 for Tudelano.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Tudelano?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-2 Tudelano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Tudelano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 43%, draw 27%, Tudelano 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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