Don Benito 0-0 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.54
Over
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Don Benito EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.76/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.01
+25% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
305 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Don Benito
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Villanovense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2023 Don Benito Don Benito 0-0 HT 0-0 Villanovense Villanovense İS4
04.12.2022 Villanovense Villanovense 0-1 HT 0-1 Don Benito Don Benito İS4
27.02.2022 Don Benito Don Benito 1-0 HT 0-0 Villanovense Villanovense İS4
10.10.2021 Villanovense Villanovense 0-2 HT 0-0 Don Benito Don Benito İS4
14.02.2021 Villanovense Villanovense 3-0 HT 2-0 Don Benito Don Benito İS3
22.11.2020 Don Benito Don Benito 0-0 HT 0-0 Villanovense Villanovense İS3
POST-MATCH Don Benito vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Don Benito and Villanovense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Don Benito at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Don Benito had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Don Benito and 0.50 for Villanovense.

What was the final score of Don Benito vs Villanovense?

Don Benito 0-0 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Don Benito vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Don Benito win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Don Benito 43%, draw 31%, Villanovense 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Don Benito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Don Benito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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