Llanera vs Numancia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Llanera v Numancia — Team-Based Signals
Llanera 1-4 Numancia — Actual Match Statistics
Numancia ran out comfortable winners over Llanera 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Llanera had 48% of the ball to Numancia's 52%, shots finished 8-17.
What was the final score of Llanera vs Numancia?
Llanera 1-4 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Llanera vs Numancia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Llanera 30%, draw 27%, Numancia 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.