Mallorca II 1-3 Espanyol II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
0.88/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.06
-21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca II
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Espanyol II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 0-2 HT 0-0 Mallorca II Mallorca II İS4
09.10.2022 Mallorca II Mallorca II 0-2 HT 0-2 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca II
1-3
AWAY Espanyol II
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mallorca II vs Espanyol II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol II got the better of Mallorca II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Espanyol II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mallorca II had 51% of the ball to Espanyol II's 49%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mallorca II and 1.00 for Espanyol II.

What was the final score of Mallorca II vs Espanyol II?

Mallorca II 1-3 Espanyol II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca II vs Espanyol II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mallorca II 31%, draw 29%, Espanyol II 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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