Real Avila 1-0 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.48
Over
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Avila EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.10
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Real Avila vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Avila squeezed past Guijuelo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Real Avila made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Real Avila vs Guijuelo?

Real Avila 1-0 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Avila vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Avila win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Real Avila 37%, draw 30%, Guijuelo 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Avila), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Avila) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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