Sabadell 1-0 Cornella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.62
Over
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
43%
4-5
14%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cornella EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-4% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cornella
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Sabadell Sabadell 2-1 HT 1-1 Cornella Cornella İS3
14.01.2024 Cornella Cornella 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
20.05.2023 Cornella Cornella 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
11.09.2022 Sabadell Sabadell 1-0 HT 0-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
14.05.2022 Sabadell Sabadell 2-1 HT 0-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
07.11.2021 Cornella Cornella 0-1 HT 0-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
1-0
AWAY Cornella
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Cornella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell edged past Cornella 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sabadell as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sabadell had 33% of the ball to Cornella's 67%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabadell had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sabadell and 0.50 for Cornella.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Cornella?

Sabadell 1-0 Cornella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Cornella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 49%, draw 27%, Cornella 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sabadell), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sabadell) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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