Salamanca 1-5 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salamanca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
0.88/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.28
-31% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salamanca
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Bergantinos
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 2-1 HT 0-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS4
19.09.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 0-0 HT 0-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salamanca
1-5
AWAY Bergantinos
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salamanca vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos swept aside Salamanca 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Salamanca at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Salamanca had 52% of the ball to Bergantinos's 48%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bergantinos led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Salamanca and 1.00 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Salamanca vs Bergantinos?

Salamanca 1-5 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salamanca vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salamanca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Salamanca 49%, draw 26%, Bergantinos 25%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salamanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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