Sant Andreu 1-0 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.52
Over
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
35%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sant Andreu EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.22/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+1% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sant Andreu
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
20.04.2014 Sant Andreu Sant Andreu 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sant Andreu
1-0
AWAY Atletico Baleares
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sant Andreu vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sant Andreu edged past Atletico Baleares 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sant Andreu as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sant Andreu had 57% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 43%, shots finished 5-2.

What was the final score of Sant Andreu vs Atletico Baleares?

Sant Andreu 1-0 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sant Andreu vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sant Andreu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sant Andreu 41%, draw 27%, Atletico Baleares 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sant Andreu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sant Andreu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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