Terrassa 1-0 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.6
Over
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Terrassa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.39/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.73
-11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Terrassa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Badalona
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Badalona Badalona 1-1 HT 0-1 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
03.09.2023 Terrassa Terrassa 1-4 HT 1-2 Badalona Badalona İS4
23.04.2023 Terrassa Terrassa 2-2 HT 0-1 Badalona Badalona İS4
11.12.2022 Badalona Badalona 0-0 HT 0-0 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
20.02.2022 Badalona Badalona 1-0 HT 0-0 Terrassa Terrassa İS4
03.10.2021 Terrassa Terrassa 3-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Terrassa
1-0
AWAY Badalona
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Terrassa vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Terrassa squeezed past Badalona 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Terrassa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Terrassa had 57% of the ball to Badalona's 43%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Badalona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Terrassa and 1.33 for Badalona.

What was the final score of Terrassa vs Badalona?

Terrassa 1-0 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Terrassa vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Terrassa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Terrassa 48%, draw 27%, Badalona 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Terrassa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Terrassa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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