UD Logrones 2-0 Ejea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No Pick
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Logrones EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ejea EU Bookmakers 19%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.64/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.71
+54% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Logrones
2-0
AWAY Ejea
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH UD Logrones vs Ejea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Logrones saw off Ejea 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UD Logrones as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, UD Logrones had 61% of the ball to Ejea's 39%, shots finished 11-3.

What was the final score of UD Logrones vs Ejea?

UD Logrones 2-0 Ejea in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Logrones vs Ejea?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UD Logrones 50%, draw 26%, Ejea 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Logrones), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Logrones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
6 Oct 2024
12:30 Getafe II vs Conquense Analysis →
12:30 Melilla vs Union Adarve Analysis →
13:00 Zaragoza II vs Eibar II Analysis →
13:00 CD Coria vs Tenerife II Analysis →
13:00 Colonia Moscardo vs Union Sur Yaiza Analysis →
13:00 Mostoles vs Rayo Majadahonda Analysis →