UD San Fernando 1-3 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II EU Bookmakers 25%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
0.55/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.98
-61% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD San Fernando
1-3
AWAY Granada II
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UD San Fernando vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada II saw off UD San Fernando 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was UD San Fernando at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, UD San Fernando had 63% of the ball to Granada II's 37%, shots finished 23-12.

What was the final score of UD San Fernando vs Granada II?

UD San Fernando 1-3 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD San Fernando vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD San Fernando win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UD San Fernando 45%, draw 26%, Granada II 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD San Fernando) ✗ Under 2.5
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