Xerez Deportivo 2-2 Linense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.45
Over
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Linense EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.84/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.17
-35% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
2-2
AWAY Linense
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Linense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo and Linense couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez Deportivo at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 57% of the ball to Linense's 43%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Linense?

Xerez Deportivo 2-2 Linense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Linense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 47%, draw 27%, Linense 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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