FC Santa Coloma 2-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.86
Over 2.5
61%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
67%
-2.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
50%
-11.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
50%
+11.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.35
-44% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Santa Coloma
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-4 HT 1-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
21.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
14.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma ANDK
08.10.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 0-1 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
05.02.2023 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma 3-2 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
09.10.2022 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Santa Coloma
2-1
AWAY Penya Encarnada
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Santa Coloma squeezed past Penya Encarnada 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Santa Coloma as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, FC Santa Coloma had 59% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 41%, shots finished 18-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Santa Coloma had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Santa Coloma and 1.17 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

FC Santa Coloma 2-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split FC Santa Coloma 65%, draw 22%, Penya Encarnada 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Santa Coloma), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Santa Coloma) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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