LASK Linz 4-0 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.7
X/1
16%
3.99
X/2
9%
10.55
X/X
10%
5.63
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
15%
7.84
2/X
6%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.65/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.70
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
367 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 70%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
21.5 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 0.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 233
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
31.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
11.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-2 HT 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
16.09.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-3 HT 0-3 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
07.05.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
30.04.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
4-0
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.81 xG 0.72
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
451 Passes 248
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz swept aside Austria Klagenfurt 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 61% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 39%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.81 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LASK Linz had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for LASK Linz and 0.67 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Austria Klagenfurt?

LASK Linz 4-0 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 46%, draw 25%, Austria Klagenfurt 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ BTTS Yes
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