Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Salzburg
AVU
2-1
HT 0-1
Sturm Graz
AVU
Sturm Graz 5-0 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz ran out comfortable winners over Salzburg 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 46% of the ball to Salzburg's 54%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 2.80 to 0.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.83 for Salzburg.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Sturm Graz 5-0 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 28%, draw 27%, Salzburg 45%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS Yes went the other way.