Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-4 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.51/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.75
-43% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
218 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Neman Grodno
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.05.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
02.10.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
30.07.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
15.05.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
0-4
AWAY Neman Grodno
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno ran out comfortable winners over Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk had 51% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 49%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk and 1.50 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Neman Grodno?

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 0-4 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 27%, draw 25%, Neman Grodno 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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