Thisted 1-0 Hellerup IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thisted EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellerup IK EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.06/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.22
-20% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thisted
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hellerup IK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Thisted Thisted 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
20.04.2024 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 1-0 HT 1-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
21.10.2023 Thisted Thisted 0-1 HT 0-1 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
16.09.2023 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-3 HT 2-1 Thisted Thisted DAN2
22.10.2022 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK 2-1 HT 2-0 Thisted Thisted DAN2
02.10.2022 Thisted Thisted 3-0 HT 1-0 Hellerup IK Hellerup IK DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thisted
1-0
AWAY Hellerup IK
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thisted vs Hellerup IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thisted edged past Hellerup IK 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hellerup IK at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Thisted had 54% of the ball to Hellerup IK's 46%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thisted and 1.00 for Hellerup IK.

What was the final score of Thisted vs Hellerup IK?

Thisted 1-0 Hellerup IK in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thisted vs Hellerup IK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hellerup IK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Thisted 31%, draw 28%, Hellerup IK 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hellerup IK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hellerup IK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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