SJK Akatemia 2-2 PK-35 ry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.83
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
8%
7.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.83 — our 24% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PK-35 ry EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
2.09/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.59
+29% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
278 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SJK Akatemia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY PK-35 ry
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 3-0 HT 1-0 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
12.05.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-1 HT 0-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
23.03.2024 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 1-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
08.10.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 3-4 HT 1-3 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FINY
06.07.2022 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry 2-0 HT 2-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
11.05.2022 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 4-1 HT 2-1 PK-35 ry PK-35 ry FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Akatemia
2-2
AWAY PK-35 ry
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 ry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia and PK-35 ry couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was SJK Akatemia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SJK Akatemia had 54% of the ball to PK-35 ry's 46%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for SJK Akatemia and 1.50 for PK-35 ry.

What was the final score of SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 ry?

SJK Akatemia 2-2 PK-35 ry in the Finland - Ykkönen on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 ry?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SJK Akatemia 43%, draw 23%, PK-35 ry 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SJK Akatemia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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