Mikkeli 0-5 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
68%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.68
Over 2.5
59%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
9.43
2-3 Goals
35%
2.48
4-5 Goals
34%
2.33
6+ Goals
11%
3.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.0pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.5pp
68%
Away Win
76%
-7.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.98/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/1.01
+4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KTP Kotka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-2 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
13.04.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-0 HT 0-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
17.02.2024 Mikkeli Mikkeli 1-5 HT 0-3 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FINYK
16.08.2022 Mikkeli Mikkeli 3-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
01.07.2022 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 4-1 HT 2-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
20.10.2020 Mikkeli Mikkeli 2-3 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
0-5
AWAY KTP Kotka
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KTP Kotka ran out comfortable winners over Mikkeli 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KTP Kotka as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mikkeli had 44% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 56%, shots finished 8-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mikkeli and 3.00 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Mikkeli 0-5 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 15%, draw 17%, KTP Kotka 68%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KTP Kotka), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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