WSE 3-1 Tuen Mun SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.4pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME WSE EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME WSE
3-1
AWAY Tuen Mun SA
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH WSE vs Tuen Mun SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

WSE beat Tuen Mun SA 3-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tuen Mun SA at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, WSE had 41% of the ball to Tuen Mun SA's 59%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of WSE vs Tuen Mun SA?

WSE 3-1 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for WSE vs Tuen Mun SA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tuen Mun SA win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split WSE 29%, draw 28%, Tuen Mun SA 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tuen Mun SA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tuen Mun SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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