Yuen Long 0-3 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.38
No
49%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.4pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.8pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.14/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.78
+29% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Shatin SA
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Shatin SA Shatin SA 1-3 HT 1-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
17.12.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-0 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
29.01.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-1 HT 3-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
06.11.2022 Yuen Long Yuen Long 3-1 HT 2-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
24.10.2021 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-2 HT 1-2 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
28.02.2015 Yuen Long Yuen Long 4-1 HT 2-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
0-3
AWAY Shatin SA
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shatin SA ran out comfortable winners over Yuen Long 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Yuen Long had 56% of the ball to Shatin SA's 44%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yuen Long had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Yuen Long and 1.33 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Shatin SA?

Yuen Long 0-3 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 45%, draw 19%, Shatin SA 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Yuen Long), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
6 Oct 2024
08:30 Citizen AA vs South China Analysis →
10:30 Sham Shui Po vs Hoi King Analysis →
10:30 WSE vs Tuen Mun SA Analysis →
12:30 Eastern District vs 3 Sing Analysis →
14:30 Central & Western vs Resources Capital FC Analysis →