Pacific FC 1-4 Cavalry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.63
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavalry EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.65/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.20
+19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.4 Crosses 14.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cavalry
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 Passes 409
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
02.06.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Cavalry Cavalry CAPL
29.04.2024 Cavalry Cavalry 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
21.10.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 2-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
08.10.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 3-0 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
28.08.2023 Cavalry Cavalry 1-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
1-4
AWAY Cavalry
1.06 xG 1.60
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 4
173 Passes 534
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs Cavalry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry cruised past Pacific FC 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Cavalry made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pacific FC had 30% of the ball to Cavalry's 70%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.06 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cavalry led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Pacific FC and 1.33 for Cavalry.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs Cavalry?

Pacific FC 1-4 Cavalry in the Kanada - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs Cavalry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 36%, draw 28%, Cavalry 36%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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