Valour vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valour v Forge — Team-Based Signals
Valour vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Forge
CAPL
1-1
HT 0-0
Valour
KAPL
2-0
HT 1-0
Forge
KAPL
Valour 0-1 Forge — Actual Match Statistics
Forge edged past Valour 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Forge as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Valour had 49% of the ball to Forge's 51%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.98 to 1.52.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valour and 1.50 for Forge.
What was the final score of Valour vs Forge?
Valour 0-1 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valour vs Forge?
Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Valour 30%, draw 22%, Forge 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.