Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Petrolera v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera found just enough to beat Once Caldas 1-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alianza Petrolera found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Once Caldas saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 0.33 to 1.28 — on chances, Once Caldas could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Alianza Petrolera against 0.67 for Once Caldas.
Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Result & Final Score
Alianza Petrolera 1 - 0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 34%, draw 32%, Once Caldas 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.