Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Petrolera v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Once Caldas
KOL
0-3
HT 0-2
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Petrolera edged past Once Caldas 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Alianza Petrolera found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 35% of the ball to Once Caldas's 65%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 0.33 to 1.28 — on chances, Once Caldas could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.67 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas?
Alianza Petrolera 1-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 37%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.