Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
3-2
HT 1-1
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-1
HT 2-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Atletico Nacional made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 57% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 43%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Deportivo Pasto.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 34%, draw 32%, Atletico Nacional 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.