Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Pasto v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
From a near-even 38% / 33% / 29% read, it was Atletico Nacional who turned the coin-flip their way. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Deportivo Pasto had 57% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 43%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.55 — by the quality of chances, Deportivo Pasto deserved more.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.
Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Result & Final Score
Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Pasto vs Atletico Nacional Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 38%, draw 33%, Atletico Nacional 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.